Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to the league I am placed in for Manifold's Season 29, which runs from September 1 to September 30, 2025. The possible outcomes are:

• Masters (Promote): If I am promoted to the Masters league.

• Diamond (Current): If I remain in the Diamond league.

• Platinum (Demote): If I am demoted to the Platinum league.

The league placement will be determined based on my performance during Season 28 (August 2025) and any official announcements from Manifold regarding league assignments for Season 29. The final league placement will be verified through my Manifold profile and the official league standings page.

Background

Manifold operates a league system where users are grouped into tiers based on their performance in prediction markets. The primary tiers are:

• Masters: The highest tier, consisting of top-performing users.

• Diamond: The second-highest tier.

• Platinum: The third tier.

Users' placements are typically updated at the end of each season, reflecting their trading performance and engagement during that period. For more details on the league system, refer to Manifold's official leagues page: Manifold Leagues.

Considerations

• Performance Metrics: League promotions and demotions are influenced by factors such as profit (realized and unrealized) and overall engagement on the platform during the season.

• Season Duration: Each season lasts one month, with Season 29 covering September 2025.

• Official Announcements: Any changes to the league structure or criteria will be communicated by Manifold through their official channels.