Will the legislative filibuster weakened before 2026?
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35%
chance
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1M
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a change in U.S. Senate rules or precedent that lowers the threshold for cloture for any legislative action whose threshold for cloture at the time the market was created is three-fifths of all Senators duly chosen and sworn.
Modifications to budget reconciliation rules will not resolve the market to "Yes".
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