Will Manifold Markets be more popular than Metaculus by the end of 2024?
Basic
5
Ṁ33Jan 1
60%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
I'll look at the google trend search volume of "Manifold Markets" and "Metaculus" over Dec 2024 and visually decide if Manifold Markets have more search volume than Metaculus
https://trends.google.com/trends/explore?geo=US&q=manifold%20markets,metaculus&hl=en
Resolves Yes if Manifold Markets has higher google search volume than Metaculus over Dec 2024.
*If someone in the comment session came up with a more rigorous method of determining which term has a higher search volume, I will like use that method for resolution.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will Manifold Markets still be popular at the end of 2026?
70% chance
Will Manifold surpass Metaculus in DAUs by 2025?
68% chance
Will Manifold Markets still exist in a decade? (Jan 2, 2034)
59% chance
Will I feel Manifold Markets is a competitive way of gaining information by 2027?
73% chance
Will Brier Fox Forecast be more popular than Manifold Markets by the end of 2025?
16% chance
Will Manifold outperform Metaculus in the 2024 ACX Contest?
18% chance
Will Manifold Markets still be around by 2030?
94% chance
Will Manifold be acquired by Meta by end of 2030?
4% chance
Will there be a Manifold Markets competitor before 2025?
92% chance