will the "AI movie to a prompt" market stay above 65% for a week straight before the end of 2025?
Plus
46
Ṁ30k2026
27%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
40% chance
Derivatives markets: Will Scott Alexander's "2028 AI movie market" be above 50% on Jan 1 in each year?
Multi year: Will an AI be able to generate a full high quality movie to a prompt?
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
42% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
40% chance
In early 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie script to a prompt?
65% chance
If the big 2028 AI Movie market resolves YES, which of the following will be true 3 months later?
By mid-2027, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt?
24% chance
Will AI generate a decent commercial before 2026?
70% chance
In 2028, will an AI be able to generate a full high-quality movie to a prompt, with human aid?
60% chance