How many points above the gold cutoff will the best 2026 IMO AI get?
7
Ṁ605
2026
96%
-12 or higher
94%
-9 or higher
93%
-6 or higher
90%
-3 or higher
90%
0 or higher
76%
3 or higher
70%
6 or higher
62%
9 or higher
54%
12 or higher

This question uses the standard rules from the large 2025 IMO market to determine IMO scores of AIs (i.e. must be finalized before the competition starts, must take 4.5hrs for each problem set, etc.)

This question asks for the largest value, among such AIs competing in the 2026 IMO, of (the score of the AI) - (the gold cutoff score).

I intend to close this before the 2026 IMO starts and resolve 30 after the closing ceremony.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules