How much territory will Ukraine's new offensive capture before Trump’s inauguration?
Basic
9
Ṁ719Jan 20
98.5%
0-499 square km
0.3%
500 - 999 square km
0.2%
1000 - 1999 square km
0.2%
2000 - 2999 square km
0.3%
3000 - 3999 square km
0.3%
4000 - 4999 square km
0.3%
>= 5000 square km
This market resolves to the number of square kilometers captured or liberated by Ukraine, as reported by the Institute for the Study of War (www.understandingwar.org), by January 20.
UPDATE https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/ukraine-launches-new-offensive-kursk-russia-war-putin-trump-rcna186274:
Background:
Russian milbloggers are claiming that Ukraine has started a new offensive in Kursk. It is currently unclear whether these claims are accurate, and if so, what the scope of the offensive might be. It could potentially be just a diversion.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will The Russia-Ukraine War End Within 90 days of Trump Taking Office? [see description]
23% chance
If Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
72% chance
At the end of the war, will Ukraine control any territory they didn’t control at the start?
26% chance
Will Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2025?
10% chance
Will Trump End the War in Ukraine Within 90 Days of Taking Office?
23% chance
Will Russia and Ukraine agree to a ceasefire or other cessation of hostilities before the 100th day of Trump’s term?
28% chance
If the Republican party wins the 2024 US election, will Ukraine recover all its territory by Feb 2029?
14% chance
Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24 days of his inauguration?
7% chance
Will Trump end the Russia-Ukraine war within 24h of his inauguration?
3% chance
Will Ukraine control any of Crimea before it takes back most of Luhansk or Donetsk?
56% chance