10 companies with 1b us$ revenue and <10 employees created and exist by mid 2028
Plus
7
Ṁ3852028
43%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
10 companies with the criteria will exist sometime before end of market. If it can be shown so, then YES
Criteria for a company
Private or public, but an independent company
<10 employees either before being bought, or at the moment it was bought
Revenue either now if it's independent, or when it was sold of >1b 2024 USD, inflation adjusted
As hunted at by this podcast with Marc Andreessen
https://youtu.be/Fw4p85jSfQc?si=xsKTQ837mRNQBWQH
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Which of the following companies will be in the top 20 companies in the world by market cap on Jan 1st 2050?
A least twenty Thiel fellow founded companies are estimated to be worth >1B USD before 2034
67% chance
New CEO at two of 14 top companies by mid 2027
59% chance
Will a company formed after 2020 be worth > 1 Trillion by 2030?
33% chance
New CEO at 3 of 14 top companies by mid 2027
47% chance
Which companies will be in the top 10 worldwide by market cap at the end of 2025?
Will there be a Fortune 500 company with 10 employees or fewer?
New CEO at three of 13 top companies by Mid 2026
27% chance
Will there be a billion-dollar company with only one person by 2040?
37% chance
Which will be the first $10 trillion tech company?