Will the 2026 US Midterm Elections generally be considered free and fair?
Basic
13
Ṁ3882026
81%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves based on consensus from major election monitoring organizations and news outlets regarding the fairness and freedom of the 2026 US midterm elections.
Resolution Criteria:
YES if major election monitoring organizations and mainstream media outlets generally agree the elections were free and fair
NO if there is widespread agreement of significant irregularities or concerns about election integrity, or if there are no elections.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
What party will hold the House of Representatives after the 2026 midterms
U.S. federal government announces delay or suspension of 2026 midterm elections before November 3, 2026
13% chance
Will the next El Salvador presidential election be free and fair?
35% chance
The 2026 US Congressional election will be free and fair
74% chance
Balance of Power: Who will control the government after the 2026 US federal elections?
Opinion poll: Was the 2020 election “free and fair”?
86% chance
Will the US have free and fair federal elections in 2026?
Outcome of the 2026 US Midterm election
Will the 2028 United States presidential election be free and fair, according to ≥75% of Manifold poll respondents?
75% chance
Will Manifold consider the 2020 election “free and fair” at the end of 2025?
75% chance