
Will the average global temperature in 2026 exceed 2025?
Plus
10
Ṁ8302027
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolve according to the "mean" average temperature reported in this webpage
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/temperature-anomaly
resolves to 50% in case of a tie.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will global greenhouse gas emissions in 2025 be lower than global greenhouse gas emissions in 2024?
33% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2023?
82% chance
Will the average global temperature in 2025 exceed 2024?
33% chance
Will 2025 be the warmest year on record?
29% chance
May 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC)?
Will 2025 be the hottest year on record?
29% chance
Will the mean global near-surface temperature for 2023-2027 exceed 1.5℃ above the preindustrial average?
46% chance
Will we (temporarily) cross the 3 degrees celcius of global warming by 2026?
3% chance
Will global greenhouse gas emissions in 2026 be lower than global greenhouse gas emissions in 2025?
56% chance
Will global warming be 2 °Celsius or higher in 2026, according to Berkeley Earth?
5% chance