Holodeck When?
➕
Plus
8
Ṁ1191
2041
5%
2024 or 2025
7%
2026
14%
2027
18%
2028
14%
2029
7%
2030
6%
2031
6%
2032
6%
2033
6%
2034 or 2035
6%
2036-2040
5%
After 2040 or never

It feels to me that the core technologies for a "holodeck" are now in place. This market resolves to the year when there is a VR or AR experience (comparable to the Apple Vision Pro) that involves imagery generated by a vocal prompt (comparable to Sora and GPT-4o) and generated audio that matches the visuals. The generation must happen in real time but it is allowed to be as glitchy and weird looking as the early Sora videos were. Real-time generation of video won't count unless it's 3D and able to be experienced in some kind of immersive way. The product must be demonstrated to the public in a way I'm confident isn't just a staged demo. Headset is optional (i.e. goggles are fine, but so are "real holograms") as are controllers and interactivity beyond verbal prompting. Verbal prompts must be able to change the environment in real time while it's being experienced.

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