For how long Kursk region will be at least partly under control of Ukraine?
Plus
60
Ṁ73812030
74%
At least until 1st May 2025
29%
At least until 1st Sept 2025
24%
At least until 1st Jan 2026
13%
At least until 1st July 2026
12%
At least until 1st Jan 2027
11%
At least until 1st July 2027
9%
At least until 2028
9%
At least until 2029
6%
At least until 2030
Zelenskyy says Ukraine plans to indefinitely hold Russian territory it has seized
For how long will Ukraine manage to do that?
Resolves Yes once a respective date is reached and some part (at least 100 km^2) of Kursk region is still under Ukrainian control. In case of Russia fully taking the region back (i.e. Ukraine controls less than 100 km^2), all dates that haven’t been achieved yet will immediately be resolved No.
100 square kilometres roughly equals to 40 square miles.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2025?
10% chance
[Metaculus] Will Russia repel Ukrainian forces from the Kursk Region before June 30, 2025?
54% chance
Will Ukraine have partial control over Crimea by the end of 2026?
18% chance
Will Ukraine liberate 85% of its 3 regions out of 5 currently controlled by Russia by the 31th of August?
23% chance
Will russian troops successfully remove the ukranian troops fron the Kursk region before August?
66% chance
When will martial law be lifted in at least 3/4 of Ukraine?
By the time a ceasefire or peace treaty between Ukraine & Russia is signed, will UA partially control Crimea?
7% chance
Will Ukraine take back control of Mariupol while Putin is in power?
6% chance