Will SpaceX deploy a functional payload with Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
Plus
14
Ṁ17712026
82%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market is based on a poll posted on X by Tim Dodd the Everyday Astronaut.
If the result is ambiguous, I may use Everyday Astronaut's followup video, if there is one, as a source for resolution.
See the full list of markets at https://manifold.markets/news/everyday-astronaut-2025-predictions
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
SpaceX conducts at least one Starship launch every month in 2025
22% chance
How many Starship launches will occur in 2025?
Will SpaceX's Starship have 40 successful launches before 2027?
61% chance
Will SpaceX re-fly a Super Heavy Booster in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
51% chance
How many times will SpaceX launch Starship in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
Will SpaceX successfully catch the Starship upper stage in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
70% chance
Will SpaceX send a Starship to Mars before 2028?
40% chance
Will SpaceX re-fly a Starship upper stage in 2025? (Everyday Astronaut 2025 Predictions)
17% chance
Will SpaceX's Starship Superheavy launch vehicle reach 500 total successful launches by Jan 1st 2030?
24% chance
How many SpaceX Starship launches will there be in 2025?