Background Elon Musk is acting as head of the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) in the second Trump administration. The department name is a reference to the Dogecoin cryptocurrency and the popular Shiba Inu "doge" meme, both of which Musk has publicly supported and referenced in the past. Doge was also the title of the oligarchical leader of the Republic of Venice in the middle ages and early modern period.
Resolution Criteria This market will resolve YES if Elon Musk officially adopts "Doge" as a title or consistently uses it as a personal nickname within the first 100 days of Trump's second term. This includes:
Using "Doge" in his official government communications or titles
Changing his social media names/bios to include "Doge"
Regularly referring to himself as "Doge" or "The Doge" in public appearances or statements, even in a joking tone.
Others in the Trump administration or on the political right regularly refer to him as "Doge" or "The Doge."
The market will resolve NO if:
Musk does not adopt "Doge" as a title/nickname within the specified timeframe
Musk only uses "DOGE" in reference to the Department of Government Efficiency
Considerations
The 100-day period ends on April 30, 2025
The market focuses specifically on personal adoption of the title, not institutional use related to the department name
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Are our predictions accurate?
How do I win cash prizes?
and can't be cashed out. to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.1.00