Lake Kivu erupt before 2030?
5
Ṁ15682029
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Following the latest RealLifeLore video:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fJHkHeHFuhg
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lake_Kivu
As far as I can understand, there can be very small degassing events, so for the resolution of this market I'm choosing a threshold of 100 people dead.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the new ebola epidemic cause deaths outside Congo before 2031?
53% chance
Will Mount Vesuvius erupt before 2030?
12% chance
Will Yellowstone erupt before 2031?
13% chance
Will there be more than 30 New Volcano Eruptions in 2025?
45% chance
Will there be another global pandemic before 2030?
36% chance
Will there be a volcanic eruption of Volcanic Explosivity Index 5 or greater before 2035?
51% chance
Will a supervolcano eruption happen by 2100?
8% chance
Will the Phlegraean Fields super volcano erupt by the end of 2025?
14% chance
Will there be more than 70 Active Volcanoes at the end of 2025?
66% chance
Will there be a large volcanic explosion before 2027?
45% chance