US provides military aid to Russia before January 20, 2029
20
Ṁ12822029
29%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves YES if the United States government provides any form of military aid to Russia during Donald Trump's second presidential term (January 20, 2025 - January 20, 2029).
Military aid includes weapons, ammunition, military equipment, training, intelligence sharing specifically for military purposes, or direct financial assistance explicitly for military spending.
Resolution will be based on official US government announcements, or credible news reports from major outlets (e.g., Reuters, AP, NYT, WSJ), or official Russian government acknowledgments of receiving such aid.
Sources for tracking US foreign military aid:
The market closes at the end of Trump's term but may resolve earlier if aid is confirmed.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 20, 2029
8% chance
Will the US give military support to Russia in 2025
8% chance
US and Canada engage in armed conflict before January 1, 2029
8% chance
Will U.S. Congress approve new Ukraine aid package by June 30, 2025?
34% chance
Will Russia confront USA by the end of 2029?
20% chance
Russia launches a military incursion into Moldova before January 1, 2026
18% chance
Will the US provide more aid to Ukraine in 2025 vs 2024?
13% chance
US and Mexico engage in armed conflict before January 20, 2029
12% chance
Will the US sanctions on Russia be largely lifted before 2026?
59% chance
What countries will receive more than 100 million dollars in military aid from the US in 2029?