When will the Yudkowsky $150,000 UFO market first stay at ≥95% for a week? | Manifold

When will the Yudkowsky $150,000 UFO market first stay at ≥95% for a week?

Basic

7

Ṁ327

2028

7%

2025

14%

2026

36%

2027

31%

2028

12%

Never/later

When the above market stays ≥95% according to the web UI for at least 160 hours in any 168 hour period, this market will resolve to the year (anywhere on Earth) in which that 168 hour period ends.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

#Eliezer Yudkowsky

Get

1,000

and

3.00

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