UK General Election 2024 - Will Reform UK get over 6,000,000 votes?
Plus
55
Ṁ16kresolved Jul 6
Resolved
NO1D
1W
1M
ALL
Two weeks ago, Nigel Farage returned as leader of Reform UK and said that his party would win over 4 million votes. This seemed like a very bold claim, but Manifold's predictors think that there's a good chance he's right:
/SimonGrayson/will-reform-uk-get-over-4000000-vot
Now Farage has upped the ante and said that Reform UK will win more than 6 million votes!
Will he be proven right? Will there be more than 6,000,000 votes for Reform UK candidates?
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Reform win the next UK election?
24% chance
How many seats will Reform UK win at the next general election?
-
Will Reform win less than 50 seats at the next UK General election?
25% chance
How many MPs will Reform UK have when the next UK General Election is called?
-
Will Reform UK top the YouGov voting intention poll at the time of the next UK general election, but lose?
16% chance
If this person is leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election, will the PM be Reform?
Reform UK won five seats in the 2024 General Election. When will the first by-election be called in one of those seats?
Who will be the leader of Reform UK going into the next UK general election?
Will Reform be the official opposition after the next UK election?
16% chance
What Conservative/Reform UK cross-pollination will occur by the next UK general election?