How many Home Runs will Shohei Ohtani hit over his career in the MLB?
How many Home Runs will Shohei Ohtani hit over his career in the MLB?
Basic
2
Ṁ782045
94%
At least 250
89%
At least 300
79%
At least 350
60%
At least 400
50%
At least 450
50%
At least 500
50%
At least 541 (how many David Ortiz hit)
50%
At least 583 (how many Mark McGwire hit)
50%
At least 600
50%
At least 630 (how many Ken Griffey Jr. hit)
50%
At least 660 (how many Willie Mays hit)
40%
At least 703 (how many Albert Pujols hit)
40%
At least 714 (how many Babe Ruth hit)
30%
At least 755 (how many Hank Aaron hit)
20%
At least 762 (how many Barry Bonds hit)
https://www.baseball-reference.com/players/o/ohtansh01.shtml
does not include postseason home runs
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Win cash prizes for your predictions on our sweepstakes markets! Always free to play. No purchase necessary.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like trading still use Manifold to get reliable news.
How do I win cash prizes?
Manifold offers two market types: play money and sweepstakes.
All questions include a play money market which uses mana
and can't be cashed out.
Selected markets will have a sweepstakes toggle. These require sweepcash
to participate and winners can withdraw sweepcash as a cash prize. You can filter for sweepstakes markets on the browse page.
Redeem your sweepcash won from markets at
1.00 → $1.00, minus a 5% fee.
Learn more.Related questions
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