Will it be possible to disentangle most of the features learned by a model comparable to GPT-3 this decade? (1k subsidy)

Will a language model comparable to GPT-4 be trained, with ~1/10th the amount of energy it took train GPT-4, by 2028?

Will OpenAI announce a model with a name containing the string "GPT-4b" in 2025

Will there be an LLM (as good as GPT-4) that was trained with 1/100th the energy consumed to train GPT-4, by 2026?

Will there be a language model called GPT-5, released by OpenAI, this decade?

Will it be possible to disentangle most of the features learned by a model comparable to GPT-2 this decade?

Will mechanistic interpretability be essentially solved for GPT-2 before 2030?

Will an open source model beat GPT-4 in 2024?

Will we have an open-source model that is equivalent GPT-4 by end of 2025?

Will GPT-4 be trained on more than 10T text tokens?