2025 Australian election: Labor outperforms 2022 result?
12
Ṁ615May 15
56%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
It's rare for an Australian government not to lose vote share after their first term.
Will the 2025 election be an exception?
Resolves YES if The Australian Labor party gets a national two-party-preferred vote share larger than 52.132745% (their 2022 result) in the 2025 Australian federal election.
Data source is final numbers from the Australian Electoral Commission.
(image source: Antony Green, ABC)

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