Will the US government ban Rednote / Xiaohongshu by 2026?
Basic
3
Ṁ452026
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
With a TikTok Ban Looming, Users Flee to Chinese App ‘Red Note’
Will resolve YES if the app is not available in United States app stores (Android and iOS) due to a government action. Will resolve NO if it is still accessible by Jan 1, 2026.
If the app becomes inaccessible for a non-government reason (like the devs removing it) this will resolve N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will TikTok be meaningfully banned in the US on March 1, 2025?
38% chance
Will China allow westerners to continue interacting with Chinese on Xiaohongshu/RedNote?
62% chance
Will TikTok be banned in the US by the end of 2025?
52% chance
Will the Chinese version of XiaoHongShu (Red Note) still be accessible to US users in March 2025?
75% chance
Will TikTok be banned in the United States for the majority of the population by the end of 2025?
43% chance
When will Xiaohongshu limit overseas users
Where X (old Twitter) will get banned by the end of 2025?
Will TikTok get banned in the US by the end of 2025?
37% chance
Which applications will be banned by China
Apple/Google post United States v. Google by 2026 year end?