Will China invade Taiwan x Will the CCP lose power?
Basic
5
Ṁ1652040
4%
China invades Taiwan, CCP loses power
36%
China invades Taiwan, CCP doesn't lose power
6%
China doesn't invade Taiwan, CCP loses power
54%
China doesn't invade Taiwan, CCP doesn't lose power
Serious invasion attempts also count. Resolves in 2040.
I don't trade in my own markets.
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