Will Apollo Research (new AI evals org) shut down before 2028?
Plus
11
Ṁ2932027
25%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI system be known to have resisted shutdown before the end of 2026?
27% chance
Will OpenAI disappear before 2034?
34% chance
Will an AI system be known to have resisted shutdown before the end of 2025?
18% chance
Will any AI researchers be killed by someone explicitly trying to slow AI capabilities by end of 2028?
28% chance
Will xAI stop working on AI research by 2029?
41% chance
Will the for-profit arm of OpenAI be shut down or otherwise separated from the non-profit arm before 01/01/2026?
77% chance
Will OpenAI become nothing by 2030?
OpenAI becomes a for-profit before April 2025?
27% chance
Will OpenAI exist in Jan 2027?
81% chance
Will OpenAI run an AI incubator in 2025?
60% chance