Will Article 4 of NATO be triggered before the end of Trump's term?
Basic
17
Ṁ1229resolved Sep 10
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will NATO article 5 (collective Defense) be instigated before the end of 2025?
3% chance
Will Trump withdraw from NATO in 2025?
2% chance
Will NATO still exist by the end of 2025?
99% chance
If Trump wins, will at least 20 NATO members reach the 2% target for defense spending in 2025?
95% chance
Will USA leave NATO or refuse Article 5 by the end of 2025?
2% chance
Conditional on a MAGA Republican being elected US President, will NATO be attacked by Russian-allied forces in 2025?
7% chance
Will any other NATO member country invoke Article 4 by the end of 2030?
98% chance
Will the US withdraw from NATO at anytime during Trump's presidency?
17% chance
What is the NEXT country to invoke NATO Article 4?
If Trump wins, will the USA pass legislation to leave NATO by EOY 2026?
15% chance