
Will the iPhone get a replacable battery before the Doomsday Clock reaches 150 seconds or more again?
Basic
3
Ṁ1382030
42%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Link: https://thebulletin.org/doomsday-clock/current-time/
As of this question posting in Dec 2023 the Doomsday Clock is at 90 seconds (to midnight).
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
What time will Doomsday Clock be at in 2026? (Read the pinned comment for market rules.)
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 15 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?
41% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock be 60s (or less) to midnight by end of January 2026
58% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 5 minutes or more to midnight before 2040?
36% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 minutes or more to midnight before 2050?
24% chance
In the next 5 years, will the Doomsday Clock reach 4 or more minutes to midnight?
10% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 10 minutes or more to midnight before 2040?
35% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 40 seconds to midnight by 2028?
22% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 30 seconds to midnight by 2029?
42% chance
Will the Doomsday Clock reach 20 seconds to midnight by 2030?
52% chance