Open Answer: What will be the (absolute) Electoral College margin in the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Basic
1
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2028
31%
20 or fewer (0-20)
34%
40 or fewer (0-40)
37%
60 or fewer (0-60)
50%
80 or fewer (0-80)
55%
100 or fewer (0-100)
59%
120 or fewer (0-120)
63%
140 or fewer (0-140)
66%
160 or fewer (0-160)
69%
180 or fewer (0-180)
31%
More than 180 (181+)

Electoral College margin = the winning candidate's electoral votes minus the second place's electoral votes.

Answers will be resolved based on the actual Electoral College votes, not electors' pledges. Unfaithful electors may impact the outcome.

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Fixed some typos in the answers that might have been incorrect AI auto-completions that I failed to double-check earlier.

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