
Will California, or any part of California, become an independent country before 2030?
Plus
15
Ṁ7692030
10%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves as expected
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will a state declare independence from the USA by 2030?
16% chance
Will California hold a vote to secede from the U.S.?
26% chance
Will California independence be voted on in 2026?
15% chance
Will Catalonia (Catalunya) gain internationally recognized independence before 2030?
15% chance
Will Catalonia hold another independence vote by 2030?
33% chance
Will any US state secede before 2030?
10% chance
Will California repeal Prop. 13 by 2030? (2/3's majority requirement)
32% chance
Will California experience an earthquake of magnitude 7.5 or greater before 2030?
8% chance
Will Bavaria be an independent nation by 2050?
9% chance
Will a Republican win California for President by 2050?
19% chance