This is one of 25 props in the tenth annual Narcissist Forecasting Contest, as described here:
https://braff.co/advice/f/announcing-the-2025-narcissist-forecasting-contest
It will be adjudicated by judges as described in the fine print of the entry form:
https://forms.gle/Zh6vvRw2YgdYSdgV6
Update 2025-11-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Market will resolve based on FIDE standard open ratings published on November 1st (not November 30th as the question title might suggest), available at https://ratings.fide.com/top_lists.phtml?list=open. FIDE ratings update only on the first of each month.
1,000
3.00FIDE ratings update only monthly, on the first of the month, so this has been resolved Yes in the underlying contest, and it will resolve Yes here (on Dec 1 res date) based on the November standard open ratings, https://ratings.fide.com/top_lists.phtml?list=open. Let me know if you have an argument for a different outcome.
