Will TikTok be banned in the US or forced to change ownership by this month?
Basic
49
แน20k2027
45%
Feb 2025
61%
Mar 2025
57%
Apr 2025
61%
May 2025
62%
Jun 2025
63%
July 2025
64%
Aug 2025
65%
Sep 2025
This market resolves when Tiktok has either been banned in the US, or has changed ownership
Example of what counts as banned in the US:
Tiktok app no long appears on US ios app store
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
@mods April, May, and June can resolve and make me a paid creator and I'll resolve things in a timely manner...
@AmmonLam thanks for the clarification, in that case iโm betting this down since i expect a long time in between the bill passing and the ban actually being instated
@AmmonLam thank you! wait, will any of these individual months resolve NO before the market as a whole expires? (wondering because cash flow constrained)
Related questions
Related questions
What will be the status of TikTok in the US on April 1st 2025?
If the TikTok ban takes effect, will ByteDance divest it OR shut it down in the U.S?
Will TikTok be meaningfully banned in the US on March 1, 2025?
20% chance
Will TikTok be banned in the US by the end of 2025?
61% chance
TikTok banned in the US by May 2025?
58% chance
Will TikTok be banned in the United States by the end of 2025?
55% chance
Will TikTok be banned in the United States for the majority of the population by the end of 2025?
29% chance
At EOY 2025, will ByteDance own the American version of TikTok?
68% chance
As of April 2025, will the following companies or individuals have an ownership stake in TikTok (US)?
What will the status of TikTok be in the US by the end of 2025?