
Which of NATO members will have met the target of 2% of GDP defence spending in any year before 2030?
Plus
37
Ṁ62232030
99%
United States
99%
Poland
99%
United Kingdom
99%
Finland
97%
Estonia
96%
Latvia
95%
Turkey
95%
Romania
95%
Lithuania
95%
Netherlands
95%
Sweden
95%
Czechia
95%
Greece
95%
Denmark
95%
Germany
95%
Bulgaria
95%
France
95%
Montenegro
95%
Albania
70%
Italy
The market will resolve as YES for all countries that record in any year between 2024-2030 a budget for military expenditure exceeding 2% of their GDP, as per NATO data (https://www.nato.int/).
This includes any future NATO member, whose number is published by NATO in the time period in question.
For example, the published numbers for 2023 are here:

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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The Economist has published an article on this topic this week
Can Europe defend itself without America? (economist.com)

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