Will Luigi Mangione be convicted of murder, before 2027?
➕
Plus
4
Ṁ1000
2027
80%
chance

Same resolution criteria as: https://manifold.markets/Bayesian/will-luigi-mangione-be-convicted-of

Except, one year later.

This market will resolve YES if:

  • Luigi Mangione is convicted of murder (any degree) in connection with Brian Thompson's death by a court of law before January 1st, 2027.

  • Luigi Mangione pleads guilty to murder charges in connection with Brian Thompson's death before January 1st, 2027.

The market will resolve NO if:

  • Mangione is acquitted of murder charges

  • No conviction is reached by January 1st, 2027

  • Charges are dropped or reduced to lesser charges (e.g., manslaughter)

  • Mangione is never formally charged with murder

  • Mangione dies before a conviction is reached

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
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