GPT-5 releases when?
Plus
21
Ṁ2352Dec 31
2,025.42
expected
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market tests whether month-long buckets work decently for numeric markets. may N/A.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Sort by:
If I compute the culmulative function with these questions:
and then take the derivative (or like piecewise approximation of the derivative using buckets), how well does it match the curve in your question? 🤔
Related questions
Related questions
When will GPT-5 be released? (2025)
91% chance
When GPT-5 will released?
Will GPT-5 be released before Dec 2025?
85% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Jan 2026?
84% chance
GPT-5 released to the public by May 30, 2025?
40% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Feb 2026?
86% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before May 2025?
35% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Feb 2025?
2% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Jul 2025?
29% chance
Will GPT-5 be released before Jun 2025?
23% chance