When will DeepSeek release V4?
Plus
26
Ṁ38592026
38%
Before June 2025
44%
Before July 2025
55%
Before August 2025
65%
Before September 2025
74%
Before October 2025
80%
Before November 2025
86%
Before December 2025
Minor changes to the name, such as using "V5" instead of "V4", are acceptable when determining the release.
To count as released, the model must be accessible to some people outside DeepSeek. if it's banned in the US but releases in China this market would still resolve YES. If it is available through some API only this counts as a release.
See also:
/Bayesian/when-will-openai-announce-o4
/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-gpt45-ULpyUuqd2L
/Bayesian/when-will-openai-release-an-open-so
/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-r2
/Bayesian/when-will-deepseek-release-v4 (this market)
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
When will Deepseek V4 be released?
-
Will DeepSeek's next reasoning model be open-sourced?
79% chance
When will DeepSeek release R2?
Will DeepSeek R2 be open source?
82% chance
Will DeepSeek's next reasoning model be called R3?
4% chance
When will Deepseek R2 be released?
-
How much did DeepSeek-V3 cost to train?
Will there be an open replication of DeepSeek v3 for <$10m?
55% chance
Will xAI be ahead of DeepSeek on June 30
67% chance
DeepSeek open-source frontier model after 3/23/25?
82% chance