Which company has best AI model end of April? (Chatbot Arena Leaderboard)
53
Ṁ400k
May 1
38%
OpenAI
35%
xAI
6%
Google
6%
DeepSeek
6%
Anthropic
5%
Alibaba
4%
Meta

Resolution is based on the chatbot arena LLM leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai), specifically the company with the highest Arena Score in the Overall category without filters (without style control or show deprecated), at the end of April 30, 2025 11:59PM ET.

See also:

#AI
#Technical AI Timelines
#OpenAI
#AI Impacts
#ChatGPT
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
opened a Ṁ1,000 NO at 30% order

I think OA's time in the sun may have come to an end. NO order at 30%.

@jim wanna put it up again? i'll fill

opened aṀ1,000 YES at 10% order

@jim Now that’s just predatory

opened a Ṁ10,000 NO at 12% order

what happened to being 12% sure

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 10% order

@Bayesian Keely criterium

bought Ṁ25 YES

@jim Being willing to bet only like 1000 manas at 12% implies a kelly credence of like 12.01%… it lacks conviction

@Bayesian order up

opened a Ṁ1,000 YES at 12% order

@brod careful, i have inside info on Meta

bought Ṁ2,000 NO

@jim ok understood

@jim not the kind of insider info that makes you more than 15% confident clearly

@brod im trying to get Bayesian's manas but he went to sleep or something

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules