Will a private company demonstrate nuclear fusion net gain (>1.0 energy out vs energy in) before 12/31/2025? | Manifold

Will a private company demonstrate nuclear fusion net gain (>1.0 energy out vs energy in) before 12/31/2025?

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predictedNO

Is this about the energy that goes into the plasma or the total input energy?

predictedYES

@Daniel_MC Great clarifying question. The energy that goes into the plasma is what I am looking at. This is likely way simpler to calculate and communicate.

@CharlesCarriere awesome thanks for clarifying

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Will nuclear fusion become a viable energy source before 2050?

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HB11 Energy will demonstrate fusion net gain with hydrogen-boron fuel by 12/31/2027.

Will any fusion reactor project demonstrate engineering breakeven before the end of 2040?

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