Is manifold market politically biased? If so, in which direction? | Manifold

Is manifold market politically biased? If so, in which direction?

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Not biased

Biased, consistently overestimates in a conservative direction

Biased, consistently overestimates in a liberal direction

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Well, during US elections, Trump was consistently lower than real money betting markets and ended up winning. So I'd say it's left biased at least in terms of US politics.

I don't have strong feeling either way, but if is becomes successful this poll should be interpreted as giving reversed results

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