In which year will the next yokozuna first appear on the banzuke for a basho? (Sumo)

Basic

Ṁ1205

2030

0.7%

2024

52%

2025

47%

2026

0.9%

2027 or later

If they make the promotion criteria in November and appear on the January banzuke, this resolves to the year of the January tournament.

If their name is on the banzuke and they do not participate for whatever reason, still resolves Yes.

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bought Ṁ10 NO

2024 is starting to run out of time! Especially if Takerufuji wins this tournament.

That would mean it would require a May - July pair of wins, or a July - September pair of wins, from Hoshoryu or Takakeisho or Kotonowaka to pull this off.

We were so close!

bought Ṁ10 YES

@Eliza The competition might just be too tough right now, a lot of yokozunas in the past have averaged 11 wins per tourney, and most fighters can't quite reach that level of dominance

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