When will Nintendo release the Nintendo switch 2?
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Plus
26
Ṁ9486
May 2
0.6%
Q1 2025
88%
Q2 2025
9%
Q3 2025
1.6%
Q4 2025
0.8%
2026 or later.
0.4%
Other

This market will resolve based on when the Nintendo Switch 2 (or whatever Nintendo names their next primary gaming console) becomes available for purchase on Nintendo's official website in any region. The market will resolve to the quarter/year when the console first becomes available.

If Nintendo releases a different console that is not positioned as the successor to the Switch (e.g., a "Switch Pro" or variant of the current Switch), the market will remain open until the true next-generation console is released.

If Nintendo announces that they are skipping a Switch 2 and moving directly to a different type of console, that console's release date will be used for resolution

  • Update 2025-15-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Pre-orders do not trigger the market's resolution.

    • The console is only considered released when it is available for purchase and in the hands of consumers.

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@ElliottBenson the market description states that resolution will be when it’s available for purchase, but the title says released — what if it’s first available for pre-order?

Will this resolve when it’s actually released and in the hands of consumers?

@snazzlePop The market won't resolve from it being available to preorder. It is only considered released if consumers can get their hands on it.

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