
Obamas get divorced or separated by mid 2030
Plus
30
Ṁ54572030
13%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Announced and confirmed by them, or credible clear reports that they don't live together and/ or are separated.
Update 2025-02-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Criteria clarification:
Death does not count: Only a deliberate decay of the relationship (through divorce or separation) meets the resolution criteria.
Focus on relationship decay: The market outcome is based solely on whether the relationship falls apart, not on events such as a death.
Update 2025-07-27 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market's deadline of 'mid 2030' is defined as the end of day on June 30, 2030, California time.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
Related questions
Related questions
Will Michelle and Barack Obama separate/ divorce in 2025?
3% chance
Obamas divorced before EOY2025?
2% chance
Will Melania divorce or separate from Trump by 2050?
11% chance
Which celebrity couples will separate/divorce by the end of 2025?
Will Harry and Meghan divorce by 2030?
64% chance
Will Donald and Melania Trump be divorced before the end of 2025?
4% chance
Will Prince Harry and Meghan divorce by 2030?
65% chance
Will there be a trivorce in the United States by 2040?
35% chance
Will Prince Harry and Meghan Markle divorce/break up before 2030?
60% chance
Divorce becomes harder in China through 2030
45% chance