Will Elon Musk spend a night in prison / jail by EOY 2026?
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7%
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As reported by major news sources. If in doubt or unclear as of question close time, then as confirmed by government sources such as court records and arrest records. Question close time may be extended if unclear and records are not yet available.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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I'm not staying it's super likely, but it actually seems plausible after the Putin thing
@DavidFWatson Hmmm. I'm not at all convinced the Logan Act still gets enforced, though.
@DavidFWatson there might well be, this is definitely not a thing I'm an expert on. Are there better similar questions to ask?
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