When will Japan's tourism return to 2019 levels?
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Plus
15
Ṁ3373
2028
0%
Other
0%
2023
99.1%
2024
0.7%
2025
0%
2026
0%
2027
0.2%
2028 or after

International travelers to Japan peaked at 31,882,049 in 2019. https://www.tourism.jp/en/tourism-database/stats/inbound/ Visits have plummetted in 2020--2022. What will be the first year that inbound tourism to Japan hits 31,882,049 or more, according to the numbers provided on tourism.jp or a similarly reputable source?

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This can resolve now (as others have already noted by their bets). https://www.jnto.go.jp/statistics/data/_files/20250115_1615-1.pdf

By the way, China's visitor numbers skyrocketed back, but still had only reached back to less than 50% of its numbers pre-covid. So we might still see another big leap this year if more Chinese continue to travel outside of the country, since they were later to 'return to normalcy' than many other countries.

(I have approximately equal positions in 2024 and 2025.)

This is a great question. It would be really interesting to have this same question for the entire world, as a measure of "global return to normalcy.'
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