Whale fight!

Ṁ3092

Jun 30

49%

chance

ALL

Y=Yes position in shares of the biggest Yes holder

N=No position in shares of the biggest No holder

Resolves to Y/(Y+N)

[×100 to get a percentage, at market close]

You are allowed to do anything to manipulate this market, as long as it isn't explicitly against Manifold guidelines.

Update 2025-06-02 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A cap has been introduced for the resolution calculation:
- Shares held by the biggest Yes holder (Y) or the biggest No holder (N) will be capped at 500,000 when calculating the resolution Y/(Y+N).
- For example, if a top holder has 600,000 shares, this will be counted as 500,000 shares in the formula.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

Get

1,000

and

3.00

5 Comments

19 Holders

83 Trades

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reposted

Quick update: to make sure no excessive escalation takes place here: all shares above 500'000 total shares won't be taken into account for this market's resolution (600k counts as 500k for example).

opened a Ṁ3,000 YES at 10% order

Y is yes position in mana or shares?

@Bayesian "position" makes me think shares

@Robincvgr yeah it was supposed to be shares, I've updated the description

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