When will an open-sourced AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad? | Manifold

When will an open-sourced AI win a Gold Medal in the International Math Olympiad?

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2046

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The description and resolution criteria correspond to those of the equivalent question on Metaculus: https://www.metaculus.com/questions/6728/ai-wins-imo-gold-medal/

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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bought Ṁ31 YES

I'd appreciate it if you add "open source" to the title. I made some large bets not realizing that part of the metaculus question.

@mods this is probably within your powers

bruh same

How does this resolve if it happens later than 2045?

@Nat 2045.

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