Will any human spacecraft reach another star system by the end of the 21st century? | Manifold

Will any human spacecraft reach another star system by the end of the 21st century?

Plus

31

Ṁ2397

2100

48%

chance

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Includes one built by human-built AI.

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why is this so low (32%)?

a lightsail would get us to proxima centauri in ~21 years

so a launch at 2079 at the absolute latest would suffice

am i misunderstanding something?

outside of some existential calamity, why would we be unable to send a lightsail out well before that point?

sold Ṁ17 YES

@elf I'm guessing somewhere around 2060

Related question:

/OlegEterevsky/when-will-the-first-manmade-object

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Breakthrough_Starshot is i guess what would be the likely craft design

Will any human spacecraft reach another star system by 2100?, 8k, beautiful, illustration, trending on art station, picture of the day, epic composition

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