Will Manifold stop using AI to make my questions worse by the end of 2025?
Will Manifold stop using AI to make my questions worse by the end of 2025?
Basic
25
Ṁ1066
2026
44%
chance

Manifold recently added a feature where AI can edit my market description without my consent. Naturally these edits are terrible, frequently containing incorrect information and not understanding what the market is about at all.

This resolves YES if there's a way for me to turn this off, or it's removed entirely, or the AI gets smart enough that it stops making detrimental edits, or it otherwise stops annoying me.

  • Update 2025-02-19 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Arbitration Costs:

    • Paying for arbitration costs will not count as a valid solution to the issue.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00


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1mo

lmao, it's incorrectly clarified this market's own resolution criteria.

1mo

An example of Manifold's AI making a blatantly wrong addition to my market description. (No, simply paying for arbitration costs would not count as a success.)

https://manifold.markets/IsaacKing/if-i-try-to-fight-paypal-for-my-350

I don't think we'll add a toggle to turn off the clarification, but I do think o1-o3, etc. will make them better. I also support adding a notification that the AI made an edit

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Unknown user avatar
2 traders bought Ṁ30 NO 2mo
2mo

@ian I was personally thrown off by this feature, and would prefer if it was a “suggested clarification” that the market creator can accept/reject. Even just a bot response like “@market_creator Do you want me to edit the description to add [edited text]? Thumbs up to accept.” would be great.

COI: I hold YES on this market.

@ian I suspect the inference costs on o3, even on low settings, could be prohibitive for this for the rest of 2025 - about an OOM more expensive than highest settings o1 on lowest settings o3 from what they've shown

2mo

@MingCat even o1 would be a great improvement I think!

2mo

How should I bet in order to maximize the chance that manifold admins notice this can make it a disable-able feature?

Also, can someone answer @Noah 's question?

2mo

wait what, anywhere I can read about this change? I knew about the additions it makes when you make comments down below, but is this something else? wtf

2mo

@No_uh I don’t think this is something else. It is that.

2mo

@No_uh The "comment summaries" are what I'm referring to, it will sometimes "summarize" my comment to say something totally different from what I actually said.

bought Ṁ50 NO2mo

@MingCat wanna bet more at 50%?

2mo

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