
Will Britain agree on a deal to give Mauritius the Chagos islands by the end of 2025?
Plus
24
Ṁ6974Dec 31
93%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Update 2025-02-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Clarification:
Trump Veto Outcome: If Trump vetoes successfully, the market resolves as no.
Deal Going Through: If Trump's veto is unsuccessful and the deal goes through, it resolves as yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
Sort by:
@JussiVilleHeiskanen if Trump vetoes it successfully it resolves no. If Trump vetoes it unsuccessfully and the deal goes through it resolves yes.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the EU-Mercosur free trade agreement be ratified by the end of 2025?
46% chance
Which country will the Chagos Islands belong to on 31 December 2049?
Will the UK and Spain reach an agreement on the future sovereignty of Gibraltar before 2035?
50% chance
Will the UK and Spain reach an agreement on the future sovereignty of Gibraltar before 2027?
22% chance
Will China open a military facility in the Chagos Islands before 2040?
20% chance
Will the UK and Spain reach an agreement on the future sovereignty of Gibraltar before 2030?
33% chance
Will Trump veto the UK's Chagos Islands deal?
16% chance
Will the .io ccTLD be substantially affected by the cession of the Chagos Islands to Mauritius?
30% chance
Will the UK pay reparations to Caribbean ex-colonies before 2028?
16% chance
Will there be a vote confirmed for a united Ireland before the end of 2025?
3% chance