Will Britain agree on a deal to give Mauritius the Chagos islands by the end of 2025?
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27
Ṁ8585
Dec 31
23%
chance

  • Update 2025-02-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Resolution Clarification:

    • Trump Veto Outcome: If Trump vetoes successfully, the market resolves as no.

    • Deal Going Through: If Trump's veto is unsuccessful and the deal goes through, it resolves as yes.

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bought Ṁ100 NO

This looks like it will still be in limbo at EOY.

bought Ṁ50 NO

so as of now this is still no?

But if Trump vetoes it, it can still resolve as yes?

@HannesLynchburg I don't think the market maker is very active. Thinking of selling out

@JussiVilleHeiskanen if Trump vetoes it successfully it resolves no. If Trump vetoes it unsuccessfully and the deal goes through it resolves yes.

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