This market will resolve to "Yes" if any artificial satellite constructed by humans and in orbit above the Kármán line (an altitude of 100 km [62 mi] above sea level) is intentionally and nonconsensually damaged to the point of nonfunction, destroyed, or otherwise brought out of orbit via offensive actions perpetrated by any individual or group between May 22, 2024, 12:00 PM ET and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on official statements by involved parties and a consensus of credible reporting
@JuhoPennanen Idk why anyone bet anything, I've not bet on my market, however a string of articles around this particular info is what spurred this market's creation: https://www.bbc.com/news/articles/cq55ww5j7e2o
@RemNi It should exclude a nation specifically and intentionally shooting down its own satellite, yes.