Will any AI model achieve > 40% on Frontier Math before 2026?
Plus
43
Ṁ13k2026
70%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
The model need not be released
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will an AI score over 80% on FrontierMath Benchmark in 2025
13% chance
Top FrontierMath score in 2025?
-
Will any AI model score >80% on Epoch's Frontier Math Benchmark in 2025?
15% chance
Will an AI achieve >80% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
71% chance
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2027?
53% chance
Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?
63% chance
By when will AI score >= 80% on FrontierMath
Benchmark Gap #8: Once a single AI gets >= 80% on FrontierMath Tier 4, how long until an AI publishes a math paper?
-
Will a Chinese-made AI beat o3's December score on Frontier Math by the end of 2025?
35% chance
Will Al achieve 85% or higher score on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2030?
84% chance