Will I have a surprising market resolution before the end of 2026?
6
Ṁ290
2026
45%
chance

Resolves YES if any market (except for this one to avoid paradoxes) created by this account was either below 10% for a sustained period of time and ends up resolving YES, or above 90% and ends up resolving NO.

"Sustained period of time" means:

-At least 24 hours

-At least 3 distinct human accounts made a trade in the market

This definition is because it is common for a market to reach extreme probabilities due to a single trader (usually a newer account) making a very large bet, but these are typically corrected quickly.

Resolves N/A if it is clear that manipulation has occurred on other markets in order to influence this market's resolution.

I will not bet on this market.

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Ṁ1,000
and
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This is highly dependent on the # of markets you make by then!

"to avoid paradoxes" is kinda funny idk why lol

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