Background

Multiple recall efforts are currently underway in Taiwan's Legislative Yuan (LY). Civil society groups have initiated recall petitions against 31 KMT legislators, primarily due to controversial budget cuts and legislative actions perceived as undermining national security. Simultaneously, the KMT has launched recall petitions against 13 DPP legislators, with two petitions having already gathered sufficient signatures for submission to the Central Election Commission.

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve based on the total number of Legislative Yuan members who are successfully recalled through official recall elections during the 2025 calendar year (January 1, 2025 - December 31, 2025). For a recall to be considered successful:

• The number of valid votes in favor must exceed the number against

• The "yes" votes must constitute more than one-quarter of the total eligible voters in the original electoral district

• The recall must be officially certified by Taiwan's Central Election Commission

Considerations

• Recall efforts can fail at multiple stages: signature collection, validation by the Central Election Commission, or at the actual recall vote

• Historical data suggests that successful recalls are relatively rare due to the high threshold requirements

• If a legislator resigns before a recall election, this will not count as a successful recall